IMD predicts above-normal monsoon-OxBig News Network

The southwest monsoon, which entered Kerala final week, will probably be above regular from June to September, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) mentioned on Tuesday.

The seasonal rainfall over the nation as a complete is more likely to be 106 per cent of the long-period common (LPA), which is 870 mm. LPA is the rainfall recorded over a selected area for a given interval (similar to month or season) averaged over a protracted interval like 30 years.

Risk of flooding

Above-normal rainfall carries advantages for agriculture and water assets, but additionally introduces dangers similar to flooding, disruptions to transportation, public well being considerations and hurt to ecosystems, which will be mitigated by well timed measures and preparedness.

Dr Mrutyunjaya Mohapatra, Director General, IMD 

According to the IMD, the rainfall over the monsoon core zone and rain-fed agriculture areas of the nation could be above regular. Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Maharashtra, Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh and West Bengal type the nation’s core monsoon zone the place agriculture is primarily rain-fed.

Director General, IMD, Dr Mrutyunjaya Mohapatra mentioned the early onset of monsoon this 12 months could possibly be advantageous for agriculture.

“It will be advantageous for agriculture. Even in the northeast India, it will be advantageous for the crops grown there and it will be good for the waterbodies as well which will be filled during monsoon,” he mentioned.

On the early onset of southwest monsoon this 12 months, M Ravichandran, Secretary, Ministry of Earth Sciences, mentioned, “There were multiple large-scale features like the El Nino southern oscillation and Indian Ocean dipole, among others, that remained favourable.”

“During June to September, normal to above-normal rainfall is very likely over most parts of the country except some areas of northwest and east India and many areas of northeast India where below normal rainfall is very likely,” the Met Department mentioned.

Below-normal rainfall is anticipated over the areas similar to Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh, together with northeast areas of the nation in June.

June will witness regular to below-normal month-to-month most temperatures seemingly over most elements of the nation, besides many areas of the northwest India and northeast India, the place above regular temperatures are very seemingly. “Above-normal monthly minimum temperatures are likely across most parts of the country, except some parts of Central India and adjoining south Peninsula, where normal to below-normal minimum temperatures are very likely,” the IMD mentioned.

Mohapatra mentioned owing to above-normal rainfall, the heatwave will probably be beneath regular. Above-normal rainfall carries advantages for agriculture and water assets, but additionally introduces dangers similar to flooding, disruptions to transportation, public well being considerations and hurt to ecosystems.

“To address these risks, strategies can include reinforcing infrastructure, making use of IMD’s early warning systems, strengthening surveillance and conservation initiatives, and establishing response mechanisms within sectors that are particularly vulnerable,” IMD mentioned.