UBS forecast USD/CNY to hit 7.5 by June 2025 | Forexlive

UBS forecast USD/CNY to reach 7.5 by June this year:

  • while growth is expected to accelerate in China, effective tariff rates could rise dramatically and be a headwind
  • CNY has only partially priced in this

On the other side, UBS see continued US dollar strength.

  • US activity likely to stay robust, economic data is likely to stay strong in the near term
  • ongoing tariff worries for the rest of the world, if new tariffs are introduced, the US dollar could appreciate further
  • US dollar to stay stronger for longer
  • expect the Fed to cut for a total of 50bps of easing, in 2Q and 3Q

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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