Fundamental
Overview
The USD remains mostly
rangebound even though the better than expected NFP report triggered a slightly more hawkish
repricing in interest rates expectations and sent Treasury yields higher.
The next two key events for
the greenback are the US CPI today and the FOMC decision next week. The dollar
will need hawkish stuff to get a boost.
On the JPY side, the
currency remains weak almost across the board as the BoJ is said to reduce its bond buying tapering plan and we continue to hear from
officials that a change in rates is not going to happen anytime soon. The
central bank continues to wait for US-Japan trade deal and the evolution of
inflation.
USDJPY
Technical Analysis – Daily Timeframe
USDJPY Daily
On the daily chart, we can
see that USDJPY is consolidating between the 142.35 and 146.00 levels. We’ve
been ranging for quite some time as the market continues to wait for stronger
signals to pick a direction. For now, the target for the buyers remains the
148.32 resistance, while the sellers will look for a
break below the 142.35 support to extend the drop into the 140.00 handle next.
USDJPY Technical
Analysis – 4 hour Timeframe
USDJPY 4 hour
On the 4 hour chart, we can
see that we have a support zone around the 144.32 level. This is where we can
expect the buyers to keep stepping in with a defined risk below the support and
target the 146.28 level. The sellers, on the other hand, will look for a break
lower to pile in for a drop back into the 142.35 support.
USDJPY Technical
Analysis – 1 hour Timeframe
USDJPY 1 hour
On the 1 hour chart, we can
see that we have a minor upward trendline
defining the bullish momentum on this timeframe. The buyers will likely
continue to lean on the trendline to keep pushing into new highs, while the
sellers will look for a break below the trendline and the support to target the
142.35 level next. The red lines define the average daily range for today.
Upcoming
Catalysts
Today, we have the US CPI. Tomorrow, we get the latest US
Jobless Claims figures and US PPI. On Friday, we conclude the week with the
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment report.
Watch the video below
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USDJPY, USDJPY Technical Analysis
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