Potential earth impact? Scientists track Asteroid 2024 YR4

Scientists are closely monitoring Asteroid 2024 YR4, a newly discovered spacerock that could pose a potential threat to Earth in 2032. First identified in late December 2024, the asteroid has captured global attention due to its concerning trajectory.

Currently located approximately 35 million miles away, YR4’s path has prompted scientists to conduct extensive calculations. Initial estimates suggested a 1 in 83 chance of impact in 2032. However, recent observations have increased the probability to 2.3%, raising further concerns.

Measuring around 200 feet wide, YR4 could cause significant devastation if it were to collide with Earth. Scientists estimate that such an impact could flatten an area of approximately 800 square miles. Potential impact zones include regions across the Pacific Ocean, South America, Africa, and South Asia.

Despite these alarming projections, experts stress that further analysis is needed. Another close pass is expected in 2028, which will provide astronomers with an opportunity to refine their predictions. Advanced tracking systems and observation methods will be crucial in determining whether this asteroid poses a real threat.

While the risk remains low, space agencies worldwide are closely monitoring the situation, highlighting the ongoing need for planetary defence strategies against potential cosmic threats.