The Japanese yen and euro have both chalked up impressive year-to-date gains of around 12% against the US dollar, Bank of America argues that the yen’s rise is more flimsy.
BofA notes:
- The yen’s rally has been disproportionately driven by speculative positioning
- The euro’s rise has been more persistent than JPY’s across daily market regimes
- German fiscal expansion is a unique euro driver
- Structural outflows from Japan have fallen off the market radar
They note that a currency deal between the US and Japan is a tail risk but that’s something that Kato downplayed earlier today.
This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.
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