As Wall Street weathers a number of waves of tariff threats from US President Donald Trump, a brand new buying and selling mantra is catching on amongst traders: TACO, quick for Trump Always Chickens Out.Coined by Financial Times commentator Robert Armstrong, the time period refers to a market sample that has emerged throughout Trump’s unstable tariff coverage swings. The thought is easy: when Trump threatens huge tariffs, don’t panic, await him to stroll it again, then trip the aid rally. Like clockwork, the sample has repeated itself, prompting merchants to take his threats with “a grain of salt — and a bit of salsa.”The president acknowledged the time period on Wednesday when requested about it by a reporter. “I chicken out? Oh, I’ve never heard that,” Trump mentioned with a smirk throughout an Oval Office occasion, earlier than defending his report. “You mean because I reduced China from 145% that I set down to 100 and then to another number?”Markets had been roiled final month after Trump raised tariffs on Chinese imports to 145%, solely to later decrease them to 30% after diplomatic strain and investor backlash. Just final week, Trump threatened 50% tariffs on items from the European Union, solely to delay the transfer after EU leaders reportedly requested pressing talks.“You call that chickening out?” Trump shot again. “It’s called negotiation.”According to the president, setting an “absurdly high” preliminary tariff fee is a part of a broader technique to power concessions. “If I get them to give in, I lower the number,” he mentioned.Investors, nevertheless, are more and more decoding the sample and making the most of it. After Trump delayed the EU tariffs to July 9, citing promising talks, the USmarkets rallied sharply following the Memorial Day vacation.“The TACO trade is real,” mentioned one dealer on Wall Street who spoke on background. “Every time there’s a threat, you wait for the reversal — it’s like Trump’s tell at the poker table.”
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